-
- Interest Rate3.75
- Inflation Rate MoM0.3
- Inflation Expectations3
- Retail Sales MoM0
- GDP Growth Rate0.7
- GDP m/m
- Manufacturing PMI51.6
- Services PMI 51.7
- Unemployment Rate4.4
-
- 3Interest Rate
- 1Inflation Rate MoM
- Inflation Expectations
- 0.81Retail Sales MoM
- 1.2GDP Growth Rate
- GDP m/m
- 52.1Manufacturing PMI
- 56.7Services PMI
- 5.3Unemployment Rate
Day Trading
Short Term/Scalp Opportunity
Waiting for confirmations
Swing Trading
Long Term Opportunity
Waiting for confirmations
- 2026-03-17 13:26 UTCRISK-OFF: Investors become risk-averse, favoring safer assets during uncertain or negative market conditions
Risk-ON: Investors are willing to take risks, often seen during positive market sentiment. They may invest in higher-risk assets
MIX: Risky/Safe assets trades together
| R1: | S1: | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| R2: | S2: | ||
| R3: | S3: | ||
| R4: | S4: |
Daily:
H1:
M30:
M5:
Signal
waiting...
Pivot Points
Pivot:
S1:
S2:
S3:
R1:
R2:
R3:
USDCNY, Retail traders Sentiment
USDCNY, Retails Liquidity history
>U.S. Dollar Index
Net Positions:
Previous -4,989
Current -5,882
Changes -893 -18%Net Positions:
Previous 0
Current 0
Changes + %
Licensed User access
Base: USD
Interest rate: 3.75%
U.S. 10Y Bonds: 4.200 , chg: -0.019 (-0.450%)
Fundamental Bias: Bullish Moderate
Fundamental Score: -5
COT POS: USD: -5882 pos, last change: -18% (-893 contracts)
Retail Short pos ratio: %
Retail trader Sell position:
Retail trader Sell volume: lot
Distance to Resistance R4 (): 0
Quote: CNY
Interest rate: 3%
Bonds, China 10Y: 1.834 , chg: -0.001 (-0.050%)
Fundamental Bias: 0 0
Fundamental Score: 0
Retail Long pos ratio: %
Retail trader Long position:
Retail trader Buy volume: lot
Distance to Support S4 (): 0
Forecast by Ziwox AI
Bullish Moderate
Federal Reserve (FED) rate: 3.75%
Monetary Policy: Dovish Last change: Dec 10, 2025 (-25bp)
Bullish
People's Bank of China (PBOC) rate: 3%
Monetary Policy: Dovish Last change: May 20, 2025 (-10bp)
Economic compare
-
- Interest Rate3.75
- CPI y/y2.4
- Inflation Rate MoM0.3
- Producer Prices Change2.9
- Core Inflation Rate MoM0.2
- Consumer Price Index CPI327
- Inflation Expectations3
- Retail Sales MoM0
- Core Producer Prices MoM0.8
- GDP Growth Rate0.7
- GDP m/m
- Manufacturing PMI51.6
- Services PMI 51.7
- Non Manufacturing PMI56.1
- Unemployment Rate4.4
- Employment Rate59.3
- Initial Jobless Claims213
- Non Farm Payrolls0
- Average Hourly Earnings0.4
- ADP Employment Change63
- Balance of Trade0
- Consumer Confidence55.5
- Government Bond 10Y
- TOTAL SCORE-3
-
- 3Interest Rate
- 1.3CPI y/y
- 1Inflation Rate MoM
- 0Producer Prices Change
- 0.7Core Inflation Rate MoM
- 105Consumer Price Index CPI
- Inflation Expectations
- 0.81Retail Sales MoM
- Core Producer Prices MoM
- 1.2GDP Growth Rate
- GDP m/m
- 52.1Manufacturing PMI
- 56.7Services PMI
- 49.5Non Manufacturing PMI
- 5.3Unemployment Rate
- Employment Rate
- Initial Jobless Claims
- Non Farm Payrolls
- Average Hourly Earnings
- ADP Employment Change
- 214Balance of Trade
- 90.6Consumer Confidence
- Government Bond 10Y
- 11TOTAL SCORE
According to economic data, the quote currency is outperforming the base currency due to stronger economic indicators, encouraging traders to sell the pair. This pessimism outlook, driven by the quote currency's strength versus the base currency's weakness, increases the likelihood of selling activity to profit from this divergence.
Bullish points
Bullish points
Bearish points
- Dovish Monetary Policy
Bearish points
- Dovish Monetary Policy
The US Dollar (USD) is the most widely traded currency in the world and the primary reserve currency. It is the official currency of the United States and is often seen as the global standard for trade and investment. The USD’s price is influenced by the monetary policy of the Federal Reserve, inflation levels, and interest rates. Its dominance in global trade makes it highly correlated with other major currencies, especially the Euro and Japanese Yen. Key impact parameters for the USD include US economic growth (GDP), job market conditions, consumer spending, and the Fed’s policy decisions. As a safe-haven currency, the USD often rises during periods of global risk aversion. Its price is also sensitive to geopolitical events, such as US government policy changes and international conflicts.
USDCNY Analysis
Introduction
Fundamentals and Interest Rates
The Federal Reserve policy is Dovish with the (FED) current Interest rate 3.75%. Latest change was Dec 10, 2025 (-25bp)%.
On that side the People's Bank of China policy is Dovish and (PBOC) has set its interest rate to 3% by latest change, May 20, 2025 (-10bp).
(FED) Higher interest rates generally lead to higher returns on investments denominated in USD. This tends to attract foreign capital into USD assets.
Based on the economic and macro fundamental data, The Fundamental Bias of USD is Moderate Bullish
Ziwox considering Strong Bullish bias for this asset and we anticipate long-term price increases.
Our Ziwox A, mid-term Fundamental Score for USD is -5. So, base on the Fundamental Score, we predict mid-term downside price movement.
Market Overview & Performance
In the current trading session, "London & New York", Market risk sentiment is Mix. The Australian dollar and EUR recorded the strongest performance, while the Canadian Dollar and United States Dollar are weakest so far.
Currencies performance vs US dollar "USD"
Gold "XAU", recorded a 0.23% increase against us dollar.
Euro "EUR", performance has been 0.37% up so far
Pond "GBP", performance has been 0.31% up as of now
Australian dollar "AUD", has risen by 0.69%
New Zealand dollar "NZD", has risen by 0.21%
Japanese YEN "JPY", experienced 0.17% rise
Swiss franc "CHF", experienced 0.3% rise so far
Canadian dollar "CAD", has lost -0.05%
Market Sentiment and Positioning
USD COT (Commitments of Traders):
Institutions Net Position on >U.S. Dollar Index is -5882 included 16384 long, 22266 short and -893 position changed from last week.
So they mainly have a bearish view on this asset and sold USD for lower prices in long-term.
Last week -893 repositioning Indicates more sell positions and price pressure in short-term.
Retail Traders:
Technical Levels and Support/Resistance
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