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  • GDP Annual Growth Rate1.4
  • Unemployment Rate4.4
  • Inflation Rate MoM0.3
  • Consumer Price Index CPI136
  • Producer Prices Change0.1
  • Core Inflation Rate MoM0.3
  • Inflation Expectations3.5
  • Interest Rate4.5
  • Manufacturing PMI48.3
  • Services PMI50.8
  • Retail Sales MoM0
  • GDP Annual Growth Rate0.5
  • Unemployment Rate2.4
  • Inflation Rate MoM0.6
  • Consumer Price Index CPI111
  • Inflation Expectations2.4
  • Producer Prices Change4.2
  • Interest Rate0.5
  • Manufacturing PMI48.7
  • Services PMI53
  • Retail Sales MoM0

Day Trading

Short Term/Scalp Opportunity

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Waiting for confirmations

Swing Trading

Long Term Opportunity

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Wait for the conformations

Market Risk Sentiment
Intraday performance
Last update: 2025-02-14 23:55
Intraday performance - Session history
Last update: 2025-02-14 23:55
Technical Data:
R1: S1:
R2: S2:
R3: S3:
R4: S4:

Daily:

H1:

M30:

M5:

Signal

Neutral

Sell

Sell

Neutral

waiting...

-50 %
Pivot Points

Pivot: 192.072

S1: 191.093

S2: 190.191

S3: 189.212

R1: 192.974

R2: 193.953

R3: 194.855

Retail traders Money flow: Last update: 2025-02-15 00:30

GBPJPY, Retail traders Sentiment

GBPJPY, Retails Liquidity history

Commitment Of Traders (COT): latest CFTC report: 2025-02-11

>British Pound

Net Positions:

Previous: -11,323

Current -3,168

Changes +8155 72%

>Japanese Yen

Net Positions:

Previous: 18,768

Current 54,615

Changes +35847 191%
Large Speculators & Hot money Tracking
AI Forecast
GBPJPY Forecast:

Licensed User access

0%
0%

Base: (GBP)

Interest rate: 4.5

U.K. 10Y Bonds: 4.499 , chg: 0.009 (0.220%)

Fundamental Bias: Bearish Moderate

Fundamental Score: 4

COT POS: GBP: -3168 pos, last change: 72% (8155 contracts)

Retail Short pos ratio: 75%

Retail trader Sell position: 2777

Retail trader Sell volume: 1260.07 lots lot

Distance to Resistance R4 (194.571): 2.843

Technical D1: BUY

Quote: (JPY)

Interest rate: 0.5%

Bonds, Japan 10Y: 1.346 , chg: -0.004 (-0.300%)

Fundamental Bias: Bullish Moderate

Fundamental Score: 5

COT POS: JPY: 54615 pos, last change: 191% (35847 contracts)

Retail Long pos ratio: 25%

Retail trader Long position: 2377

Retail trader Buy volume: 414.24 lots lot

Distance to Support S4 (189.648): 2.080

Fundamental Bias:

Bearish MODERATE

Bank of England (BOE) rate: 4.5%

Monetary Policy: Dovish Last change: Feb 06, 2025 (-25bp)


Bullish MODERATE

Bank of Japan (BOJ) rate: 0.5%

Monetary Policy: Hawkish Last change: Jan 24, 2025 (25bp)

GBP Calendar
JPY Calendar

Bullish points

Bullish points

  • Hawkish Monetary Policy

Bearish points

  • Dovish Monetary Policy

Bearish points

News
British Pound (Sterling)

The British Pound (GBP), the official currency of the United Kingdom, is one of the oldest currencies still in use. The Pound is the fourth most traded currency globally, and its value is heavily influenced by the economic health of the UK. Important price drivers for GBP include the monetary policy of the Bank of England (BoE), inflation, unemployment rates, and political events, including those related to Brexit. The GBP is highly correlated with the EUR and USD, often moving in similar patterns in relation to global economic events. The pound tends to strengthen when the UK economy shows signs of growth and political stability, while it weakens amid uncertainty or economic downturns. The GBP's price is also impacted by trade relations, especially those involving the EU and major global partners.

Japanese Yen

The Japanese Yen (JPY) is the official currency of Japan and is one of the most traded currencies worldwide. Known for its stability, the JPY is often seen as a safe-haven currency in times of global uncertainty. The value of the Yen is closely tied to Japan’s economic performance, particularly its export market, and monetary policy set by the Bank of Japan (BOJ). The JPY often has an inverse relationship with the USD and Euro, strengthening during periods of market risk aversion. Important factors influencing the JPY include Japan’s GDP growth, inflation, and trade balance, with a focus on export-driven industries such as automotive and electronics. The Yen can also be impacted by geopolitical tensions, particularly in East Asia, and by changes in US interest rates.

GBPJPY Analysis

Introduction

The GBP/JPY is known for its volatility, driven by both the UK and Japan’s economic data and central bank policies. It is influenced by global risk sentiment, as both the British Pound and the Japanese Yen are significantly affected by market confidence. The pair is particularly sensitive to geopolitical events in the UK (e.g., Brexit) and monetary policy decisions from the Bank of England and the Bank of Japan.


Fundamentals and Interest Rates

The Bank of England policy is Dovish with the (BOE) current Interest rate 4.5%. Latest change was Feb 06, 2025 (-25bp)%.
On that side the Bank of Japan policy is Hawkish and (BOJ) has set its interest rate to 0.5% by latest change, Jan 24, 2025 (25bp).
(BOE) Higher interest rates generally lead to higher returns on investments denominated in GBP. This tends to attract foreign capital into GBP assets.

Based on the economic and macro fundamental data, The Fundamental Bias of GBP is Moderate Bearish and for the JPY is Moderate Bullish.
Ziwox considering Moderate Bearish bias for this asset and we expect prices to decline in the long-term.
Our Ziwox A, mid-term Fundamental Score for GBP is 4. and Fundamental Score for JPY is 5. So, base on the Fundamental Score, we predict mid-term downside price movement.

Market Overview & Performance

In the current trading session, "Sydney & Tokyo", Market risk sentiment is Strong Risk-OFF. The Gold and United States Dollar recorded the strongest performance, while the Canadian Dollar and Australian dollar are weakest so far.

Currencies performance vs US dollar "USD"
Gold "XAU", recorded a 0.07% increase against us dollar.
Euro "EUR", performance has been -0.05% down so far
Pond "GBP", performance has been -0.06% down as of now
Australian dollar "AUD", has dropped by -0.1%
New Zealand dollar "NZD", has dropped by -0.08%
Japanese YEN "JPY", experienced -0.03% fall
Swiss franc "CHF", experienced -0.09% fall so far
Canadian dollar "CAD", has lost -0.14%
Market risk sentiment is OFF, Investors seek safety, favoring safe-haven currencies and assets while selling off riskier investments.Due to the market risk sentiment, GBPJPY price reduction is likely. Becasue investors become risk-averse from GBP, seeking safety amid uncertainty or market turmoil, leading to a sell-off in riskier assets and a flight to safe havens like the USD, JPY, and gold. Currencies tied to riskier economies (e.g., AUD, NZD) tend to weaken.


Market Sentiment and Positioning

GBP COT (Commitment of Traders):

Institutions Net Position on >British Pound is -3168 included 69087 long, 72255 short and 8155 position changed from last week.
So they mainly have a bearish view on this asset and sold GBP for lower prices in long-term.
Last week 8155 repositioning Indicates closed positions and short-term profit-taking.


JPY COT (Commitment of Traders):

Institutions Net Position on >Japanese Yen is 54615 included 144158 long, 89543 short and 35847 position changed from last week.
So they mainly have a bullish view on this asset and bought JPY for higher prices in long-term.
Last week 35847 repositioning Indicates that they are optimistic about higher prices in mid-term.


Retail Traders:

Crowd traders or Retail traders are bullish on the GBPJPY with 25% 75% ratio. 2377 long pos and 2777 short position.
We generally adopt a contrarian approach towards crowd sentiment and we give probability GBPJPY prices may continue to rise.


Technical Levels and Support/Resistance

The GBPJPY pair is approaching a critical technical support level near 189.648.
Technical trend is BUY, If the pair continues to weaken, this support could become a good area to enter a long positions.
On the upside, there is key resistance near 194.571. Technically, A break above this resistance could signal a shift in momentum, but need to get a confirmation in this area due to the reversal or correction potential.

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  Please note that trade offers are intended solely for educational purposes.

Our forecasts, signals, and trade opportunities are provided to help you stay informed, but we do not take responsibility for any potential losses.
Additionally, we do not offer financial or investment advice in this section of the website.

Before engaging in foreign currency trading, it's important to carefully consider your own investment goals, experience level, and risk tolerance.
We want to emphasize that we cannot be held liable for any loss or damage, including potential profit loss, that may result from using or relying on this information. Your decisions are ultimately your own, and we encourage you to approach trading with caution and awareness.

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