-
- Interest Rate2.4
- Inflation Rate MoM0.1
- Inflation Expectations4
- Retail Sales MoM0
- GDP Growth Rate0
- GDP m/m
- Manufacturing PMI51.6
- Services PMI 47.7
- Unemployment Rate6.3
-
- 3.75Interest Rate
- 0.2Inflation Rate MoM
- 4.7Inflation Expectations
- 1.2Retail Sales MoM
- 0.6GDP Growth Rate
- 0GDP m/m
- 53.9Manufacturing PMI
- 49.3Services PMI
- 4.9Unemployment Rate
Day Trading
Short Term/Scalp Opportunity
Waiting for confirmations
Swing Trading
Long Term Opportunity
Waiting for confirmations
- 2026-06-22 22:12 UTCRISK-OFF: Investors become risk-averse, favoring safer assets during uncertain or negative market conditions
Risk-ON: Investors are willing to take risks, often seen during positive market sentiment. They may invest in higher-risk assets
MIX: Risky/Safe assets trades together
| R1: | S1: | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| R2: | S2: | ||
| R3: | S3: | ||
| R4: | S4: |
Daily:
H1:
M30:
M5:
Signal
Nutral
Sell
Sell
Nutral
waiting...
Pivot Points
Pivot: 0.86440
S1: 0.86018
S2: 0.85801
S3: 0.85379
R1: 0.86657
R2: 0.87079
R3: 0.87296
EURGBP, Retail traders Sentiment
EURGBP, Retails Liquidity history
>Euro
Net Positions:
Previous 13,932
Current 34,353
Changes +20421 147%>British Pound
Net Positions:
Previous -64,213
Current -71,585
Changes -7372 -11%
Licensed User access
Base: EUR
Interest rate: 2.4%
Germany 10Y Bonds: 2.951 , chg: -0.033 (-1.100%)
Italy Bonds, Italy 10: 3.670 , chg: -0.041 (-1.100%)
Fundamental Bias: Bullish Moderate
Fundamental Score: 12
COT POS: EUR: 34353 pos, last change: 147% (20421 contracts)
Retail Short pos ratio: 0%
Retail trader Sell position: 0
Retail trader Sell volume: 0 lot
Distance to Resistance R4 (0.86722): 0.00467
Quote: GBP
Interest rate: 3.75%
Bonds, U.K. 10Y: 4.813 , chg: 0.004 (0.080%)
Fundamental Bias: Bearish Moderate
Fundamental Score: 1
COT POS: GBP: -71585 pos, last change: -11% (-7372 contracts)
Retail Long pos ratio: 100%
Retail trader Long position: 0
Retail trader Buy volume: 0 lot
Distance to Support S4 (0): 0.86255
Forecast by Ziwox AI
Bullish Moderate
European Central Bank (ECB) rate: 2.4%
Monetary Policy: Dovish Last change: Jun 11, 2026 (25bp)
Bearish Moderate
Bank of England (BOE) rate: 3.75%
Monetary Policy: Dovish Last change: Dec 18, 2025 (-25bp)
Economic compare
-
- Interest Rate2.4
- CPI y/y3.2
- Inflation Rate MoM0.1
- Producer Prices Change4.9
- Core Inflation Rate MoM0.3
- Consumer Price Index CPI103
- Inflation Expectations4
- Retail Sales MoM0
- Core Producer Prices MoM
- GDP Growth Rate0
- GDP m/m
- Manufacturing PMI51.6
- Services PMI 47.7
- Non Manufacturing PMI
- Unemployment Rate6.3
- Employment Rate70.5
- Initial Jobless Claims
- Non Farm Payrolls
- Average Hourly Earnings
- ADP Employment Change
- Balance of Trade0
- Consumer Confidence0
- Government Bond 10Y
- TOTAL SCORE-2
-
- 3.75Interest Rate
- 2.8CPI y/y
- 0.2Inflation Rate MoM
- 4Producer Prices Change
- 0.3Core Inflation Rate MoM
- 142Consumer Price Index CPI
- 4.7Inflation Expectations
- 1.2Retail Sales MoM
- 0.8Core Producer Prices MoM
- 0.6GDP Growth Rate
- 0GDP m/m
- 53.9Manufacturing PMI
- 49.3Services PMI
- Non Manufacturing PMI
- 4.9Unemployment Rate
- 75Employment Rate
- Initial Jobless Claims
- 1.73Non Farm Payrolls
- Average Hourly Earnings
- ADP Employment Change
- 0Balance of Trade
- 0Consumer Confidence
- Government Bond 10Y
- 0TOTAL SCORE
Bullish points
Bullish points
Bearish points
- Dovish Monetary Policy
Bearish points
- Dovish Monetary Policy
The Euro (EUR) is the official currency of the Eurozone, consisting of 19 of the 27 European Union (EU) member countries. It is the second most traded currency in the world and serves as a symbol of European economic integration. The Euro was introduced in 1999, and its value is influenced by the economic stability of the Eurozone. Key points include its central role in global trade and finance, with the European Central Bank (ECB) being responsible for its monetary policy. The Euro often shows strong correlations with the USD and commodity prices due to the economic dynamics of Europe and the global trade market. The Euro’s price is driven by factors such as GDP growth, inflation rates, political stability within the EU, and interest rates set by the ECB. In times of geopolitical instability, the Euro may weaken, while a stable economic outlook in the Eurozone can lead to strengthening.
The British Pound (GBP), the official currency of the United Kingdom, is one of the oldest currencies still in use. The Pound is the fourth most traded currency globally, and its value is heavily influenced by the economic health of the UK. Important price drivers for GBP include the monetary policy of the Bank of England (BoE), inflation, unemployment rates, and political events, including those related to Brexit. The GBP is highly correlated with the EUR and USD, often moving in similar patterns in relation to global economic events. The pound tends to strengthen when the UK economy shows signs of growth and political stability, while it weakens amid uncertainty or economic downturns. The GBP's price is also impacted by trade relations, especially those involving the EU and major global partners.
EURGBP Analysis
Introduction
The EUR/GBP reflects the economic relationship between the Eurozone and the United Kingdom. This pair is influenced by economic data from both regions, including GDP, inflation, and employment figures. The Bank of England’s and European Central Bank’s interest rate policies play significant roles in driving the pair’s movements. Brexit-related news and the economic outlook for the UK significantly impact the EUR/GBP.
Fundamentals and Interest Rates
The European Central Bank policy is Dovish with the (ECB) current Interest rate 2.4%. Latest change was Jun 11, 2026 (25bp)%.
On that side the Bank of England policy is Dovish and (BOE) has set its interest rate to 3.75% by latest change, Dec 18, 2025 (-25bp).
(BOE) Higher interest rates generally lead to higher returns on investments denominated in GBP. This tends to attract foreign capital into GBP assets.
Based on the economic and macro fundamental data, The Fundamental Bias of EUR is Moderate Bullish and for the GBP is Moderate Bearish.
Ziwox considering Moderate Bullish bias for this asset and we anticipate long-term price increases.
mid-term Fundamental Score for EUR is 12. and Fundamental Score for GBP is 1. So, base on the Fundamental Score, we predict mid-term upside price movement.
Market Overview & Performance
In the current trading session, "Sydney", Market risk sentiment is Risk-OFF. The Gold and British pound recorded the strongest performance, while the New Zealand Dollar and EUR are weakest so far.
Currencies performance vs US dollar "USD"
Gold "XAU", recorded a 1.07% increase against us dollar.
Euro "EUR", performance has been -0.31% down so far
Pond "GBP", performance has been 0.28% up as of now
Australian dollar "AUD", has dropped by -0.02%
New Zealand dollar "NZD", has dropped by -0.38%
Japanese YEN "JPY", experienced -0.08% fall
Swiss franc "CHF", experienced -0.08% fall so far
Canadian dollar "CAD", has gained 0.09%
Market Sentiment and Positioning
EUR COT (Commitments of Traders):
Institutions Net Position on >Euro is 34353 included 228005 long, 193652 short and 20421 position changed from last week.
So they mainly have a bullish view on this asset and bought EUR for higher prices in long-term.
Last week 20421 repositioning Indicates that they are optimistic about higher prices in mid-term.
GBP COT (Commitments of Traders):
Institutions Net Position on >British Pound is -71585 included 42043 long, 113628 short and -7372 position changed from last week.
So they mainly have a bearish view on this asset and sold GBP for lower prices in long-term.
Last week -7372 repositioning Indicates more sell positions and price pressure in short-term.
Retail Traders:
Crowd traders or Retail traders are bullish on the EURGBP with 100% 0% ratio. 0 long pos and 0 short position.
We generally adopt a contrarian approach towards crowd sentiment and we give probability EURGBP prices may decrease.
Technical Levels and Support/Resistance
On the upside, there is key resistance near 0.86722. Technically, If the pair continues to the upside, this resistance level could become a significant area to watch for sell entery potential.
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Before engaging in foreign currency trading, its important to carefully consider your own investment goals, experience level, and risk tolerance.
We want to emphasize that we cannot be held liable for any loss or damage, including potential profit loss, that may result from using or relying on this information. Your decisions are ultimately your own, and we encourage you to approach trading with caution and awareness.
