Symbols Entry SL/TP OT/Duration Status
EURCHF/Short -- -- 30 days and 4 h 9 min ago Failed -20 pip
EURCHF/Short -- -- 6 days and 19 h 29 min ago Failed -36 pip
EURCHF/Short -- -- 8 days and 17 h 29 min ago Failed -27 pip
EURCHF/Long -- -- 29 days and 11 h 56 min ago Failed -59 pip

Day Trading

Short Term/Scalp Opportunity

Swing trading

Long Term Opportunity


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Market Risk & Sentiment: Tokyo & London Session   - 2023-09-29 07:36 GMT
Related performance by EUR
Daily pairs relation
Intraday performance
Intraday performance relation
Technical Data:
R1: S1:
R2: S2:
R3: S3:
R4: S4:

Daily:

H1:

M30:

M5:

Signal

Over Bought

Over Sold

Over Sold

Sell

SELL

30 %
Pivot Points

Pivot: 0.96702

S1:

S2:

S3:

0.96551

0.96435

0.96284

R1:

R2:

R3:

0.96818

0.96969

0.97085

Money flow:

EURCHF Retail trader sentiment shows 33% of traders are net-long and 67% of them are net-short. The ratio of retails trader is 0.49
We generally adopt a contrarian approach towards crowd sentiment.In fact, with this rate, traders are net-short and we give probability EURCHF prices may continue to rise.

EURCHF, Retail traders Sentiment

Speculators Sentiment, NET positions on currencies

Heat Map

Commitment Of Traders (COT):

>Euro

Net Positions:

Previous: 113,080

Current 101,981

Changes -11099 -10%

>Swiss Franc

Net Positions:

Previous: -9,338

Current -7,935

Changes +1403 15%
COT History EUR
COT History CHF
COT Chart EUR
COT Chart CHF
EURCHF Forecast:

Bullish Drivers:

DEU 10Y: 2.859 chg: -0.110%

Daily Trend: BUY

COT POS: 101981 / -7935 Driver: 107.78 Positive

Retail Short pos ratio: 67%

Retail trader Sell position: 5187

Retail trader Sell volume: 1484.35 lots lot

Distance to Resistanc R4 (0.97482): 0.01006

Bearish Drivers

CHE 10Y: 1.086 chg: -0.095%

Fundamental Bias: Bearish

Fundamental Strength: Weak

Retail Long pos ratio: 33%

Retail trader Long position: 5156

Retail trader Buy volume: 743.31 lots lot

Distance to Support S4 (0.95957): 0.00519

Bullish:

PREMIUM

Bearish:

PREMIUM

Fundamental Bias:

Bearish Weak
  • CPI (MoM)  , prev: 0.5%
  • Core CPI (MoM)  , prev: 0.3%
  • Core CPI (YoY)  , prev: 5.3%
  • German Unemployment n.s.a. (Sep)  , prev: 2.700M
  • German Unemployment Change (Sep)  , prev: 18K
  • German Unemployment Rate (Sep)  , prev: 5.7%
  • ECB Interest Rate Decision (Sep) 4.50%, prev: 4.25%
  • ECB Interest Rate Decision (Jul) 4.25%, prev: 4.00%
  • HCOB Eurozone Manufacturing PMI (Sep) 43.4, prev: 43.5
  • HCOB Eurozone Composite PMI (Sep) 47.1, prev: 46.7
  • HCOB Eurozone Services PMI (Sep) 48.4, prev: 47.9

Neutral
  • CPI (YoY) (Aug) 1.6%, prev: 1.6%
  • CPI (MoM) (Aug) 0.2%, prev: -0.1%
  • CPI (YoY) (Jul) 1.6%, prev: 1.7%
  • Unemployment Rate s.a. (Aug) 2.1%, prev: 2.1%
  • Unemployment Rate n.s.a. (Aug) 2.0%, prev: 1.9%
  • Employment Level (Q2) 5.432M, prev: 5.389M
  • SNB Interest Rate Decision (Q3) 1.75%, prev: 1.75%
  • SNB Interest Rate Decision (Q2) 1.75%, prev: 1.50%
  • procure.ch PMI (Aug) 39.9, prev: 38.5
  • procure.ch PMI (Jul) 38.5, prev: 44.9
  • procure.ch PMI (Jun) 44.9, prev: 43.2

Bullish points

Bullish points

Bearish points

Bearish points

Recent Event/News

Nordea's assessment remains that the bank has finished raising interest rates. The European Central Bank's July monetary policy meeting offered little guidance on what the ECB will do at its September...
2023-09-01 07:59:27
27 days 23 hours ago
A further slowdown in the service sector recovery coupled with a slight moderation in manufacturing contraction does not amount to any meaningful improvement to the overall economic backdrop...
2023-08-31 14:46:04
28 days 16 hours ago
The Bank of New Zealand's impending decision to hold interest rates at 5.5% for the second consecutive meeting marks a turning point in the country's monetary policy outlook....
2023-08-16 10:01:50
1 months 43 days ago
A second consecutive benign set of inflation prints adds to optimism that the Fed rate hike cycle is at an end and a soft landing is achievable for the US economy. We continue to have our concerns abo...
2023-08-10 15:03:56
1 months 49 days ago
Industrial production retreated in May, but Japan's economic outlook remains reasonably optimistic. While Tokyo inflation showed cost-push inflation persisting, tight labour conditions could signal su...
2023-06-30 08:32:00
2 months 90 days ago
The Swiss National Bank raised its policy rate by 25 basis points as expected, while at the same time sending out a very hawkish signal. With the central bank expecting inflation to remain persistent ...
2023-06-22 12:24:26
3 months 98 days ago
The division of votes was 7 to 2 so two people were against the increase. The continuation of inflation requires further escalation. If there is evidence of more sustained pressures, then further ti...
2023-06-22 11:36:56
3 months 98 days ago
The BoJ has unanimously decided to maintain its ultra-easing monetary policy as it is still looking for clearer signs of sustainable inflation growth. We believe higher-than-expected inflation, a cont...
2023-06-16 17:28:46
3 months 104 days ago
The Energy Information Administration (EIA) estimates that US shale oil production could remain flat in July, with drilled but uncompleted wells (DUCs) inventory falling further in May. For metals, Ch...
2023-06-13 18:58:27
3 months 107 days ago
While there has been some speculation about rate cuts, today's cut was not widely expected, and coming just ahead of the monthly activity data suggests that this set of numbers could be very weak...
2023-06-13 18:52:34
3 months 107 days ago
The composite PMI fell from 54.1 to 53.3 in May, which is the first decline since October last year. The divergence between services and manufacturing is growing, with services inflation accelerating ...
2023-05-24 12:55:07
4 months 127 days ago
German trade sentiment, European Central Bank chief Lagarde, and UK inflation numbers are in focus ahead of the FOMC meeting....
2023-05-24 12:23:32
4 months 127 days ago
The third drop in a row for the German ZEW index marks a turning point for the worse as any growth optimism from the start of the year evaporates...
2023-05-16 12:36:42
4 months 135 days ago
In a March statement, the Fed suggested there would be no rate cuts until 2024. However, the market began betting on a rate cut in September, and after today's announcement, the chances of a rate cut ...
2023-05-03 20:24:50
4 months 148 days ago
Despite falling inflation, RBA Governor, Philip Lowe, justified the latest hike by saying that it would take time to bring inflation down and hinted that more hikes might be necessary...
2023-05-02 22:05:14
4 months 149 days ago
This has been going on since the weekend. Completion of the auction/deal means that First Republic Bank offices will reopen as JP Morgan branches thereafter. This breakdown shows that First Republic B...
2023-05-01 08:39:24
4 months 150 days ago
The eurozone economy carries on along the rim of stagnation. A meagre 0.1% quarter-on-quarter GDP growth in the first quarter with high divergence across member states is better than feared � but cle...
2023-04-28 17:17:00
5 months 153 days ago
Based on upbeat activity data and higher-than-expected inflation, we believe the BoJ will take steps to normalise policy by adjusting its yield curve control tool in the coming months ...
2023-04-28 17:12:22
5 months 153 days ago
Credit Suisse Group AG reported 61.2 billion francs ($69 billion) of outflows in the first quarter and took a large writedown at its wealth management unit, underscoring the challenge for UBS Group AG...
2023-04-25 12:20:40
5 months 156 days ago
An improving Ifo index is always good news. However, a weaker current assessment component and below-average expectations do little to take away the stagnation risk for this year ...
2023-04-24 14:40:29
5 months 157 days ago

Calendar Weekly: (GMT) 2023-09-29 07:36

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