EURCHF Analysis

Introduction

The EUR/CHF is often influenced by the monetary policies of the European Central Bank (ECB) and the Swiss National Bank (SNB). The Swiss Franc is considered a safe-haven currency, and the pair can be volatile during periods of European financial uncertainty or when there are concerns about the Eurozone’s economic stability.

Fundamentals and Interest Rates

The European Central Bank policy is Dovish with the (ECB) current Interest rate 2.15%. Latest change was Jun 05, 2025 (-25bp)%.
On that side the Swiss National Bank policy is Dovish and (SNB) has set its interest rate to 0% by latest change, Jun 19, 2025 (-25bp).
(ECB) Higher interest rates generally lead to higher returns on investments denominated in EUR. This tends to attract foreign capital into EUR assets.

Based on the economic and macro fundamental data, The Fundamental Bias of EUR is Weak Bullish and for the CHF is Moderate Bearish.
Ziwox considering Moderate Bullish bias for this asset and we anticipate long-term price increases.
Our Ziwox A, mid-term Fundamental Score for EUR is 4. and Fundamental Score for CHF is -2. So, base on the Fundamental Score, we predict mid-term upside price movement.

Market Overview & Performance

In the current trading session, "New York", Market risk sentiment is Mix. The Gold and Canadian Dollar recorded the strongest performance, while the New Zealand Dollar and Yen are weakest so far.

Currencies performance vs US dollar "USD"
Gold "XAU", recorded a 0.51% increase against us dollar.
Euro "EUR", performance has been 0.19% up so far
Pond "GBP", performance has been 0.23% up as of now
Australian dollar "AUD", has risen by 0.05%
New Zealand dollar "NZD", has dropped by -0.26%
Japanese YEN "JPY", experienced -0.19% fall
Swiss franc "CHF", experienced 0.19% rise so far
Canadian dollar "CAD", has gained 0.49%

Market Sentiment and Positioning

EUR COT (Commitments of Traders):

Institutions Net Position on >Euro is 114345 included 252472 long, 138127 short and -3414 position changed from last week.
So they mainly have a bullish view on this asset and bought EUR for higher prices in long-term.
Last week -3414 repositioning Indicates closing positions, short-term profit-taking, or a general pessimism about prices.

CHF COT (Commitments of Traders):

Institutions Net Position on >Swiss Franc is -23018 included 8227 long, 31245 short and 3022 position changed from last week.
So they mainly have a bearish view on this asset and sold CHF for lower prices in long-term.
Last week 3022 repositioning Indicates closed positions and short-term profit-taking.

Retail Traders:

We generally adopt a contrarian approach towards crowd sentiment

Technical Levels and Support/Resistance

The EURCHF pair is approaching a critical technical support level near 0.92788.
Technical trend is BUY, If the pair continues to weaken, this support could become a good area to enter a long positions.
On the upside, there is key resistance near 0.93507. Technically, A break above this resistance could signal a shift in momentum, but need to get a confirmation in this area due to the reversal or correction potential.