-
- Interest Rate3.75
- Inflation Rate MoM0
- Inflation Expectations3.8
- Retail Sales MoM1.8
- GDP Growth Rate0.1
- GDP m/m0
- Manufacturing PMI51.7
- Services PMI 53.9
- Unemployment Rate5.2
-
- 2.25Interest Rate
- 0.5Inflation Rate MoM
- 4.1Inflation Expectations
- 1.5Retail Sales MoM
- 0GDP Growth Rate
- 0GDP m/m
- 51Manufacturing PMI
- 46.5Services PMI
- 6.7Unemployment Rate
Day Trading
Short Term/Scalp Opportunity
Waiting for confirmations
Swing Trading
Long Term Opportunity
Short at major resistance areas
✅
Fundamental Bias is Bearish
✅
Forecast is Bearish
✅
Trend is SELL
Dynamic resistance at R3 (1.83001) and R4 (1.83507) could be apropos entries
- 2026-03-17 13:24 UTCRISK-OFF: Investors become risk-averse, favoring safer assets during uncertain or negative market conditions
Risk-ON: Investors are willing to take risks, often seen during positive market sentiment. They may invest in higher-risk assets
MIX: Risky/Safe assets trades together
| R1: | S1: | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| R2: | S2: | ||
| R3: | S3: | ||
| R4: | S4: |
Daily:
H1:
M30:
M5:
Signal
Sell
Over Bought
Buy
Over Bought
waiting...
Pivot Points
Pivot: 1.82006
S1: 1.81588
S2: 1.80974
S3: 1.80556
R1: 1.82620
R2: 1.83038
R3: 1.83652
GBPCAD, Retail traders Sentiment
GBPCAD, Retails Liquidity history
>British Pound
Net Positions:
Previous -72,686
Current -84,197
Changes -11511 -16%>Canadian Dollar
Net Positions:
Previous 21,050
Current 36,159
Changes +15109 72%
Licensed User access
Base: GBP
Interest rate: 3.75%
U.K. 10Y Bonds: 4.699 , chg: -0.066 (-1.390%)
Fundamental Bias: Bearish Moderate
Fundamental Score: -7
COT POS: GBP: -84197 pos, last change: -16% (-11511 contracts)
Retail Short pos ratio: 25%
Retail trader Sell position: 0
Retail trader Sell volume: 0 lot
Distance to Resistance R4 (1.83507): 0.00656
Quote: CAD
Interest rate: 2.25%
Bonds, Canada 10Y: 3.403 , chg: -0.032 (-0.930%)
Fundamental Bias: Bearish Weak
Fundamental Score: 6
COT POS: CAD: 36159 pos, last change: 72% (15109 contracts)
Retail Long pos ratio: 75%
Retail trader Long position: 0
Retail trader Buy volume: 0 lot
Distance to Support S4 (1.80330): 0.02521
Forecast by Ziwox AI
Bearish Moderate
Bank of England (BOE) rate: 3.75%
Monetary Policy: Dovish Last change: Dec 18, 2025 (-25bp)
Bearish Weak
Bank of Canada (BOC) rate: 2.25%
Monetary Policy: Dovish Last change: Oct 29, 2025 (-25bp)
Economic compare
-
- Interest Rate3.75
- CPI y/y3
- Inflation Rate MoM0
- Producer Prices Change2.5
- Core Inflation Rate MoM0
- Consumer Price Index CPI140
- Inflation Expectations3.8
- Retail Sales MoM1.8
- Core Producer Prices MoM0.2
- GDP Growth Rate0.1
- GDP m/m0
- Manufacturing PMI51.7
- Services PMI 53.9
- Non Manufacturing PMI
- Unemployment Rate5.2
- Employment Rate75
- Initial Jobless Claims
- Non Farm Payrolls0
- Average Hourly Earnings
- ADP Employment Change
- Balance of Trade3922
- Consumer Confidence0
- Government Bond 10Y
- TOTAL SCORE-3
-
- 2.25Interest Rate
- 1.8CPI y/y
- 0.5Inflation Rate MoM
- 5.4Producer Prices Change
- 0.4Core Inflation Rate MoM
- 166Consumer Price Index CPI
- 4.1Inflation Expectations
- 1.5Retail Sales MoM
- Core Producer Prices MoM
- 0GDP Growth Rate
- 0GDP m/m
- 51Manufacturing PMI
- 46.5Services PMI
- Non Manufacturing PMI
- 6.7Unemployment Rate
- 60.6Employment Rate
- Initial Jobless Claims
- 18240Non Farm Payrolls
- 38.49Average Hourly Earnings
- ADP Employment Change
- 0Balance of Trade
- 47.5Consumer Confidence
- Government Bond 10Y
- 3TOTAL SCORE
According to economic data, the quote currency is outperforming the base currency due to stronger economic indicators, encouraging traders to sell the pair. This pessimism outlook, driven by the quote currency's strength versus the base currency's weakness, increases the likelihood of selling activity to profit from this divergence.
Bullish points
Bullish points
Bearish points
- Dovish Monetary Policy
Bearish points
- Dovish Monetary Policy
The British Pound (GBP), the official currency of the United Kingdom, is one of the oldest currencies still in use. The Pound is the fourth most traded currency globally, and its value is heavily influenced by the economic health of the UK. Important price drivers for GBP include the monetary policy of the Bank of England (BoE), inflation, unemployment rates, and political events, including those related to Brexit. The GBP is highly correlated with the EUR and USD, often moving in similar patterns in relation to global economic events. The pound tends to strengthen when the UK economy shows signs of growth and political stability, while it weakens amid uncertainty or economic downturns. The GBP's price is also impacted by trade relations, especially those involving the EU and major global partners.
The Canadian Dollar (CAD) is the currency of Canada, and it is often referred to as the "Loonie" due to the loon bird depicted on the one-dollar coin. The CAD is heavily correlated with commodity prices, particularly oil, as Canada is one of the world’s largest oil exporters. The price of crude oil directly impacts the CAD’s value, making it a commodity-linked currency. The Bank of Canada (BoC) controls the monetary policy for the CAD. Other key price drivers for the CAD include interest rates, inflation data, and Canada’s trade balance. Economic growth in the US, as Canada’s primary trading partner, also affects the CAD, with stronger US demand often supporting a stronger Canadian Dollar. Fluctuations in global oil prices remain the most significant impact factor for the CAD.
GBPCAD Analysis
Introduction
The GBP/CAD pair is sensitive to both the UK’s economic performance and Canadian commodity exports. The Bank of England and the Bank of Canada’s interest rate policies drive this pair, and it can be volatile during periods of economic uncertainty, particularly in the UK and Canada’s oil market.
Fundamentals and Interest Rates
The Bank of England policy is Dovish with the (BOE) current Interest rate 3.75%. Latest change was Dec 18, 2025 (-25bp)%.
On that side the Bank of Canada policy is Dovish and (BOC) has set its interest rate to 2.25% by latest change, Oct 29, 2025 (-25bp).
(BOE) Higher interest rates generally lead to higher returns on investments denominated in GBP. This tends to attract foreign capital into GBP assets.
Based on the economic and macro fundamental data, The Fundamental Bias of GBP is Moderate Bearish and for the CAD is Weak Bearish.
Ziwox considering Weak Bearish bias for this asset and we expect prices to decline in the long-term.
Our Ziwox A, mid-term Fundamental Score for GBP is -7. and Fundamental Score for CAD is 6. So, base on the Fundamental Score, we predict mid-term downside price movement.
Market Overview & Performance
In the current trading session, "London & New York", Market risk sentiment is Mix. The Australian dollar and EUR recorded the strongest performance, while the Canadian Dollar and United States Dollar are weakest so far.
Currencies performance vs US dollar "USD"
Gold "XAU", recorded a 0.23% increase against us dollar.
Euro "EUR", performance has been 0.37% up so far
Pond "GBP", performance has been 0.31% up as of now
Australian dollar "AUD", has risen by 0.69%
New Zealand dollar "NZD", has risen by 0.21%
Japanese YEN "JPY", experienced 0.17% rise
Swiss franc "CHF", experienced 0.3% rise so far
Canadian dollar "CAD", has lost -0.05%
Market Sentiment and Positioning
GBP COT (Commitments of Traders):
Institutions Net Position on >British Pound is -84197 included 49270 long, 133467 short and -11511 position changed from last week.
So they mainly have a bearish view on this asset and sold GBP for lower prices in long-term.
Last week -11511 repositioning Indicates more sell positions and price pressure in short-term.
CAD COT (Commitments of Traders):
Institutions Net Position on >Canadian Dollar is 36159 included 93899 long, 57740 short and 15109 position changed from last week.
So they mainly have a bullish view on this asset and bought CAD for higher prices in long-term.
Last week 15109 repositioning Indicates that they are optimistic about higher prices in mid-term.
Retail Traders:
Crowd traders or Retail traders are bullish on the GBPCAD with 75% 25% ratio. 0 long pos and 0 short position.
We generally adopt a contrarian approach towards crowd sentiment and we give probability GBPCAD prices may decrease.
Technical Levels and Support/Resistance
The GBPCAD pair is approaching a critical technical support level near 1.80330.
Technical trend is Sell, So If the pair continues to weaken, this support could become a significant area to watch for potential reversal or consolidation.
On the upside, there is key resistance near 1.83507. Technically, If the pair continues to the upside, this resistance level could become a significant area to watch for sell entery potential.
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Our forecasts, signals, and trade opportunities are provided to help you stay informed, but we do not take responsibility for any potential losses.
Additionally, we do not offer financial or investment advice in this section of the website.
Before engaging in foreign currency trading, its important to carefully consider your own investment goals, experience level, and risk tolerance.
We want to emphasize that we cannot be held liable for any loss or damage, including potential profit loss, that may result from using or relying on this information. Your decisions are ultimately your own, and we encourage you to approach trading with caution and awareness.
