-
- Interest Rate4
- Inflation Rate MoM0
- Inflation Expectations4
- Retail Sales MoM0.5
- GDP Growth Rate0.3
- GDP m/m0.1
- Manufacturing PMI49.7
- Services PMI 52.3
- Unemployment Rate4.8
-
- 4Interest Rate
- 0.3Inflation Rate MoM
- 3.4Inflation Expectations
- 0.6Retail Sales MoM
- 3.8GDP Growth Rate
- GDP m/m
- 52.5Manufacturing PMI
- 54.8Services PMI
- 4.3Unemployment Rate
Day Trading
Short Term/Scalp Opportunity
Waiting for confirmations
Swing Trading
Long Term Opportunity
Waiting for confirmations
- 2025-11-07 19:33 UTCRISK-OFF: Investors become risk-averse, favoring safer assets during uncertain or negative market conditions
Risk-ON: Investors are willing to take risks, often seen during positive market sentiment. They may invest in higher-risk assets
MIX: Risky/Safe assets trades together
| R1: | S1: | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| R2: | S2: | ||
| R3: | S3: | ||
| R4: | S4: |
Daily:
H1:
M30:
M5:
Signal
Over Sold
Over Bought
Buy
Neutral
waiting...
Pivot Points
Pivot: 1.31077
S1: 1.30732
S2: 1.30105
S3: 1.29760
R1: 1.31704
R2: 1.32049
R3: 1.32676
GBPUSD, Retail traders Sentiment
GBPUSD, Retails Liquidity history
>British Pound
Net Positions:
Previous -6,580
Current -1,964
Changes +4616 70%>U.S. Dollar Index
Net Positions:
Previous -12,894
Current -10,344
Changes +2550 20%
Licensed User access
Base: GBP
Interest rate: 4%
U.K. 10Y Bonds: 4.465 , chg: -0.001 (-0.020%)
Fundamental Bias: Bullish Weak
Fundamental Score: 3
COT POS: GBP: -1964 pos, last change: 70% (4616 contracts)
Retail Short pos ratio: 41%
Retail trader Sell position: 19365
Retail trader Sell volume: 5157.92 lots lot
Distance to Resistance R4 (1.32305): 0.0065
Quote: USD
Interest rate: 4%
Bonds, U.S. 10Y: 4.079 , chg: -0.014 (-0.340%)
Fundamental Bias: Neutral --
Fundamental Score: -6
COT POS: USD: -10344 pos, last change: 20% (2550 contracts)
Retail Long pos ratio: 59%
Retail trader Long position: 24868
Retail trader Buy volume: 7398.31 lots lot
Distance to Support S4 (1.29991): 0.0167
Forecast by Ziwox AI
Bullish Weak
Bank of England (BOE) rate: 4%
Monetary Policy: Dovish Last change: Aug 07, 2025 (-25bp)
Neutral
Federal Reserve (FED) rate: 4%
Monetary Policy: Dovish Last change: Oct 29, 2025 (-25bp)
Economic compare
-
- Interest Rate4
- CPI y/y3.8
- Inflation Rate MoM0
- Producer Prices Change3.4
- Core Inflation Rate MoM0
- Consumer Price Index CPI139
- Inflation Expectations4
- Retail Sales MoM0.5
- Core Producer Prices MoM0.1
- GDP Growth Rate0.3
- GDP m/m0.1
- Manufacturing PMI49.7
- Services PMI 52.3
- Non Manufacturing PMI
- Unemployment Rate4.8
- Employment Rate75.1
- Initial Jobless Claims
- Non Farm Payrolls0
- Average Hourly Earnings
- ADP Employment Change
- Balance of Trade0
- Consumer Confidence0
- Government Bond 10Y
- TOTAL SCORE-2
-
- 4Interest Rate
- 3CPI y/y
- 0.3Inflation Rate MoM
- 2.6Producer Prices Change
- 0.2Core Inflation Rate MoM
- 325Consumer Price Index CPI
- 3.4Inflation Expectations
- 0.6Retail Sales MoM
- 0Core Producer Prices MoM
- 3.8GDP Growth Rate
- GDP m/m
- 52.5Manufacturing PMI
- 54.8Services PMI
- 52.4Non Manufacturing PMI
- 4.3Unemployment Rate
- 59.6Employment Rate
- 218Initial Jobless Claims
- 22Non Farm Payrolls
- 0.3Average Hourly Earnings
- 42ADP Employment Change
- 0Balance of Trade
- 53.6Consumer Confidence
- Government Bond 10Y
- 2TOTAL SCORE
According to economic data, the quote currency is outperforming the base currency due to stronger economic indicators, encouraging traders to sell the pair. This pessimism outlook, driven by the quote currency's strength versus the base currency's weakness, increases the likelihood of selling activity to profit from this divergence.
Bullish points
Bullish points
Bearish points
- Dovish Monetary Policy
Bearish points
- Dovish Monetary Policy
- Government shutdown.
The British Pound (GBP), the official currency of the United Kingdom, is one of the oldest currencies still in use. The Pound is the fourth most traded currency globally, and its value is heavily influenced by the economic health of the UK. Important price drivers for GBP include the monetary policy of the Bank of England (BoE), inflation, unemployment rates, and political events, including those related to Brexit. The GBP is highly correlated with the EUR and USD, often moving in similar patterns in relation to global economic events. The pound tends to strengthen when the UK economy shows signs of growth and political stability, while it weakens amid uncertainty or economic downturns. The GBP's price is also impacted by trade relations, especially those involving the EU and major global partners.
The US Dollar (USD) is the most widely traded currency in the world and the primary reserve currency. It is the official currency of the United States and is often seen as the global standard for trade and investment. The USD’s price is influenced by the monetary policy of the Federal Reserve, inflation levels, and interest rates. Its dominance in global trade makes it highly correlated with other major currencies, especially the Euro and Japanese Yen. Key impact parameters for the USD include US economic growth (GDP), job market conditions, consumer spending, and the Fed’s policy decisions. As a safe-haven currency, the USD often rises during periods of global risk aversion. Its price is also sensitive to geopolitical events, such as US government policy changes and international conflicts.
GBPUSD Analysis
Introduction
The GBP/USD, also known as “Cable,” is another major pair, reflecting the economic relationship between the UK and the US. The price of the pair is driven by the Bank of England’s (BoE) monetary policy, as well as political events like Brexit. The GBP/USD is highly sensitive to changes in UK economic data (inflation, GDP) and US economic performance. It tends to move in line with global risk sentiment, with a tendency for volatility during UK political events. This pair also shows a strong correlation with EUR/USD.
Fundamentals and Interest Rates
The Bank of England policy is Dovish with the (BOE) current Interest rate 4%. Latest change was Aug 07, 2025 (-25bp)%.
On that side the Federal Reserve policy is Dovish and (FED) has set its interest rate to 4% by latest change, Oct 29, 2025 (-25bp).
Based on the economic and macro fundamental data, The Fundamental Bias of GBP is Weak Bullish and for the USD is -- Neutral.
Ziwox considering Weak Bullish bias for this asset and we anticipate long-term price increases.
Our Ziwox A, mid-term Fundamental Score for GBP is 3. and Fundamental Score for USD is -6. So, base on the Fundamental Score, we predict mid-term upside price movement.
Market Overview & Performance
In the current trading session, "New York", Market risk sentiment is Mix. The Gold and Canadian Dollar recorded the strongest performance, while the Yen and New Zealand Dollar are weakest so far.
Currencies performance vs US dollar "USD"
Gold "XAU", recorded a 0.51% increase against us dollar.
Euro "EUR", performance has been 0.17% up so far
Pond "GBP", performance has been 0.19% up as of now
Australian dollar "AUD", has risen by 0.09%
New Zealand dollar "NZD", has dropped by -0.22%
Japanese YEN "JPY", experienced -0.24% fall
Swiss franc "CHF", experienced 0.16% rise so far
Canadian dollar "CAD", has gained 0.5%
Market Sentiment and Positioning
GBP COT (Commitments of Traders):
Institutions Net Position on >British Pound is -1964 included 84500 long, 86464 short and 4616 position changed from last week.
So they mainly have a bearish view on this asset and sold GBP for lower prices in long-term.
Last week 4616 repositioning Indicates closed positions and short-term profit-taking.
USD COT (Commitments of Traders):
Institutions Net Position on >U.S. Dollar Index is -10344 included 14032 long, 24376 short and 2550 position changed from last week.
So they mainly have a bearish view on this asset and sold USD for lower prices in long-term.
Last week 2550 repositioning Indicates closed positions and short-term profit-taking.
Retail Traders:
Crowd traders or Retail traders are bullish on the GBPUSD with 59% 41% ratio. 24868 long pos and 19365 short position.
We generally adopt a contrarian approach towards crowd sentiment and we give probability GBPUSD prices may decrease.
Technical Levels and Support/Resistance
The GBPUSD pair is approaching a critical technical support level near 1.29991.
Technical trend is Sell, So If the pair continues to weaken, this support could become a significant area to watch for potential reversal or consolidation.
On the upside, there is key resistance near 1.32305. Technically, If the pair continues to the upside, this resistance level could become a significant area to watch for sell entery potential.
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Our forecasts, signals, and trade opportunities are provided to help you stay informed, but we do not take responsibility for any potential losses.
Additionally, we do not offer financial or investment advice in this section of the website.
Before engaging in foreign currency trading, its important to carefully consider your own investment goals, experience level, and risk tolerance.
We want to emphasize that we cannot be held liable for any loss or damage, including potential profit loss, that may result from using or relying on this information. Your decisions are ultimately your own, and we encourage you to approach trading with caution and awareness.
