-
- Interest Rate2.15
- Inflation Rate MoM0.7
- Inflation Expectations2.6
- Retail Sales MoM0
- GDP Growth Rate0.2
- GDP m/m
- Manufacturing PMI50.8
- Services PMI 51.9
- Unemployment Rate6.1
-
- 4.1Interest Rate
- 0.4Inflation Rate MoM
- 5.2Inflation Expectations
- Retail Sales MoM
- 0.8GDP Growth Rate
- GDP m/m
- 51Manufacturing PMI
- 52.8Services PMI
- 4.1Unemployment Rate
Day Trading
Short Term/Scalp Opportunity
Waiting for confirmations
Swing Trading
Long Term Opportunity
Short at major resistance areas
✅
Fundamental Bias is Bearish
✅
Forecast is Bearish
✅
Trend is SELL
Dynamic resistance at R3 (1.64010) and R4 (1.64581) could be apropos entries
- 2026-03-17 13:24 UTCRISK-OFF: Investors become risk-averse, favoring safer assets during uncertain or negative market conditions
Risk-ON: Investors are willing to take risks, often seen during positive market sentiment. They may invest in higher-risk assets
MIX: Risky/Safe assets trades together
| R1: | S1: | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| R2: | S2: | ||
| R3: | S3: | ||
| R4: | S4: |
Daily:
H1:
M30:
M5:
Signal
Sell
Sell
Sell
Sell
waiting...
Pivot Points
Pivot: 1.62888
S1: 1.62284
S2: 1.61890
S3: 1.61286
R1: 1.63282
R2: 1.63886
R3: 1.64280
EURAUD, Retail traders Sentiment
EURAUD, Retails Liquidity history
>Euro
Net Positions:
Previous 136,498
Current 105,144
Changes -31354 -23%>Australian Dollar
Net Positions:
Previous 67,762
Current 54,197
Changes -13565 -20%
Licensed User access
Base: EUR
Interest rate: 2.15%
Germany 10Y Bonds: 2.913 , chg: -0.035 (-1.200%)
Italy Bonds, Italy 10: 3.658 , chg: -0.072 (-1.200%)
Fundamental Bias: Bullish Weak
Fundamental Score: 16
COT POS: EUR: 105144 pos, last change: -23% (-31354 contracts)
Retail Short pos ratio: 26%
Retail trader Sell position: 0
Retail trader Sell volume: 0 lot
Distance to Resistance R4 (1.64581): 0.02435
Quote: AUD
Interest rate: 3.85%
Bonds, Australia 10Y: 4.909 , chg: -0.020 (-0.410%)
China Bonds, China 10Y: 1.834 , chg: -0.001 (-0.410%)
Fundamental Bias: Bullish Strong
Fundamental Score: 4
COT POS: AUD: 54197 pos, last change: -20% (-13565 contracts)
Retail Long pos ratio: 74%
Retail trader Long position: 0
Retail trader Buy volume: 0 lot
Distance to Support S4 (1.60634): 0.01512
Forecast by Ziwox AI
Bullish Weak
European Central Bank (ECB) rate: 2.15%
Monetary Policy: Dovish Last change: Jun 05, 2025 (-25bp)
Bullish Strong
Reserve Bank of Australia (RBA) rate: 3.85%
Monetary Policy: Dovish Last change: Feb 03, 2026 (25bp)
Economic compare
-
- Interest Rate2.15
- CPI y/y1.9
- Inflation Rate MoM0.7
- Producer Prices Change0
- Core Inflation Rate MoM0.8
- Consumer Price Index CPI101
- Inflation Expectations2.6
- Retail Sales MoM0
- Core Producer Prices MoM
- GDP Growth Rate0.2
- GDP m/m
- Manufacturing PMI50.8
- Services PMI 51.9
- Non Manufacturing PMI
- Unemployment Rate6.1
- Employment Rate70.9
- Initial Jobless Claims
- Non Farm Payrolls
- Average Hourly Earnings
- ADP Employment Change
- Balance of Trade12624
- Consumer Confidence0
- Government Bond 10Y
- TOTAL SCORE6
-
- 4.1Interest Rate
- 3.8CPI y/y
- 0.4Inflation Rate MoM
- 3.5Producer Prices Change
- Core Inflation Rate MoM
- 101Consumer Price Index CPI
- 5.2Inflation Expectations
- Retail Sales MoM
- Core Producer Prices MoM
- 0.8GDP Growth Rate
- GDP m/m
- 51Manufacturing PMI
- 52.8Services PMI
- Non Manufacturing PMI
- 4.1Unemployment Rate
- 63.9Employment Rate
- Initial Jobless Claims
- Non Farm Payrolls
- Average Hourly Earnings
- ADP Employment Change
- 2631Balance of Trade
- 90.5Consumer Confidence
- Government Bond 10Y
- -3TOTAL SCORE
According to economic data, the base currency is outperforming the quote currency due to stronger economic indicators, encouraging traders to buy the pair. This positive outlook, driven by the base currency's strength versus the quote currency's weakness, increases the likelihood of buying activity to profit from this divergence.
Bullish points
Bullish points
Bearish points
- Dovish Monetary Policy
Bearish points
- Dovish Monetary Policy
The Euro (EUR) is the official currency of the Eurozone, consisting of 19 of the 27 European Union (EU) member countries. It is the second most traded currency in the world and serves as a symbol of European economic integration. The Euro was introduced in 1999, and its value is influenced by the economic stability of the Eurozone. Key points include its central role in global trade and finance, with the European Central Bank (ECB) being responsible for its monetary policy. The Euro often shows strong correlations with the USD and commodity prices due to the economic dynamics of Europe and the global trade market. The Euro’s price is driven by factors such as GDP growth, inflation rates, political stability within the EU, and interest rates set by the ECB. In times of geopolitical instability, the Euro may weaken, while a stable economic outlook in the Eurozone can lead to strengthening.
The Australian Dollar (AUD) is the official currency of Australia and is one of the top 10 most traded currencies in the forex market. The AUD is a commodity currency, closely tied to Australia’s exports, including coal, iron ore, and gold. Economic activity in China, a major trading partner, also strongly influences the AUD due to China’s demand for raw materials. The Reserve Bank of Australia (RBA) sets the monetary policy for the AUD. Key drivers for the AUD include commodity prices, interest rates, inflation, and global risk sentiment. The AUD tends to appreciate when commodity prices rise and when investor appetite for riskier assets increases. It may weaken in periods of global financial uncertainty or when commodity demand wanes.
EURAUD Analysis
Introduction
The EUR/AUD reflects the economic conditions in both the Eurozone and Australia. The pair is influenced by commodity prices, as Australia is a major exporter of raw materials, and by European economic data. The EUR/AUD can show significant movements when there are shifts in risk sentiment or changes in the global commodity market.
Fundamentals and Interest Rates
The European Central Bank policy is Dovish with the (ECB) current Interest rate 2.15%. Latest change was Jun 05, 2025 (-25bp)%.
On that side the Reserve Bank of Australia policy is Dovish and (RBA) has set its interest rate to 3.85% by latest change, Feb 03, 2026 (25bp).
(RBA) Higher interest rates generally lead to higher returns on investments denominated in AUD. This tends to attract foreign capital into AUD assets.
Based on the economic and macro fundamental data, The Fundamental Bias of EUR is Weak Bullish and for the AUD is Strong Bullish.
Ziwox considering Weak Bearish bias for this asset and we expect prices to decline in the long-term.
Our Ziwox A, mid-term Fundamental Score for EUR is 16. and Fundamental Score for AUD is 4. So, base on the Fundamental Score, we predict mid-term upside price movement.
Market Overview & Performance
In the current trading session, "London & New York", Market risk sentiment is Mix. The Australian dollar and EUR recorded the strongest performance, while the Canadian Dollar and United States Dollar are weakest so far.
Currencies performance vs US dollar "USD"
Gold "XAU", recorded a 0.23% increase against us dollar.
Euro "EUR", performance has been 0.37% up so far
Pond "GBP", performance has been 0.31% up as of now
Australian dollar "AUD", has risen by 0.69%
New Zealand dollar "NZD", has risen by 0.21%
Japanese YEN "JPY", experienced 0.17% rise
Swiss franc "CHF", experienced 0.3% rise so far
Canadian dollar "CAD", has lost -0.05%
Market Sentiment and Positioning
EUR COT (Commitments of Traders):
Institutions Net Position on >Euro is 105144 included 265686 long, 160542 short and -31354 position changed from last week.
So they mainly have a bullish view on this asset and bought EUR for higher prices in long-term.
Last week -31354 repositioning Indicates closing positions, short-term profit-taking, or a general pessimism about prices.
AUD COT (Commitments of Traders):
Institutions Net Position on >Australian Dollar is 54197 included 121394 long, 67197 short and -13565 position changed from last week.
So they mainly have a bullish view on this asset and bought AUD for higher prices in long-term.
Last week -13565 repositioning Indicates closing positions, short-term profit-taking, or a general pessimism about prices.
Retail Traders:
Crowd traders or Retail traders are bullish on the EURAUD with 74% 26% ratio. 0 long pos and 0 short position.
We generally adopt a contrarian approach towards crowd sentiment and we give probability EURAUD prices may decrease.
Technical Levels and Support/Resistance
The EURAUD pair is approaching a critical technical support level near 1.60634.
Technical trend is Sell, So If the pair continues to weaken, this support could become a significant area to watch for potential reversal or consolidation.
On the upside, there is key resistance near 1.64581. Technically, If the pair continues to the upside, this resistance level could become a significant area to watch for sell entery potential.
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Our forecasts, signals, and trade opportunities are provided to help you stay informed, but we do not take responsibility for any potential losses.
Additionally, we do not offer financial or investment advice in this section of the website.
Before engaging in foreign currency trading, its important to carefully consider your own investment goals, experience level, and risk tolerance.
We want to emphasize that we cannot be held liable for any loss or damage, including potential profit loss, that may result from using or relying on this information. Your decisions are ultimately your own, and we encourage you to approach trading with caution and awareness.
